It's that time once again, when we're in the nadir of Winter, where I don't give a shit about anything, and my classes are settling in.
I don't have much of a preamble this time because I'm recovering from a broken arm (I wasn't even drunk!), as well as having graded seven classes of work for a recently-deceased colleague that I am still not exactly over.
I don't have much to say as a preamble this time, except to say I think (finally!) that P.T. Anderson will have a slew of nominations for One Battle After Another. I'll leave it at that for now, so as not to jinx him.
OBAA and Sinners will do well. We'll see how it shakes out six week from now. So without further ado, here's where I think things will land in the morning:
BEST PICTURE
One Battle After Another
Sinners
Marty Supreme
Hamnet
Sentimental Value
Frankenstein
Train Dreams
Bugonia
Wicked: For Good
The Secret Agent
---
It Was Just an Accident
Wicked: For Good
BEST DIRECTOR
PT Anderson
Ryan Coogler
Chloe Zhao
Guillermo Del Toro
Josh Safdie
---
Joachim Trier
Jafar Panahi
BEST ACTOR
Leonardo DiCaprio
Timothee Chalamet
Michael B. Jordan
Ethan Hawke
Joel Edgerton
---
Wagner Moura
Jesse Plemons
Hugh Jackman
BEST ACTRESS
Jessie Buckley
Chase Infinit
Rose Byrne
Emma Stone
Renate Reinsve
---
Kate Hudson
Jennifer Lawrence
Amanda Seyfried
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Sean Penn
Benicio Del Toro
Jacob Elordi
Paul Mescal
Stellan Skarsgard
---
Delroy Lindo
Adam Sandler
Jack O'Connell
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Teyana Taylor
Amy Madigan
Ariana Grande
Wunmi Mosaku
Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas
---
Elle Fanning
Odessa A'zion
Regina Hall
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
One Battle After Another
Hamnet
Train Dreams
Bugonia
Frankenstein
---
Wicked: For Good
No Other Choice
The Life of Chuck
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Sinners
Marty Supreme
Sentimental Value
It Was Just an Accident
The Secret Agent
---
Sorry, Baby
Weapons
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Sinner
One Battle After Another
Frankenstein
Hamnet
Sirat
---
Marty Supreme
Bugonia
Train Dreams
BEST SONG
"Golden"--KPop Demon Hunters
"I Lied To You"--Sinners
"Dear Me"--Diane Warren: Relentless
"No Place Like Home"--Wicked: For Good
"Train Dreams"--Train Dreams
---
"The Girl in The Bubble"--Wicked: For Good
"Dream as One"--Avatar: Fire and Ash
"Billy Idol Should Be Dead"--Dying To Live
BEST INTERNATIONAL FILM
Sentimental Value
It Was Just an Accident
The Secret Agent
No Other Choice
Sirat
---
The Voice of the Rind Rajab
The President's Cake
Left-Handed Girl
BEST DOCUMENTARY
The Perfect Neighbor
My Undesirable Friends
The Alabama Solution
Seeds
Yanuni
---
2000 Meters to Andriivka
Cover-Up
Apocalypse in the Tropics
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Sinners
Hamnet
One Battle After Another
Train Dreams
Frankenstein
---
Marty Supreme
F1
Song Sung Blue
BEST EDITING
One Battle After Another
Sinners
F1
Hamnet
Marty Supreme
---
Train Dreams
Sentimental Value
A House of Dynamite
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
Frankenstein
Sinners
Wicked: For Good
Hamnet
One Battle After Another
---
Marty Supreme
Avatar: Fire and Ash
Superman
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Frankenstein
Wicked: For Good
Hamnet
Sinners
Marty Supreme
---
The Testament of Ana Lee
One Battle After Another
Nuremberg
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Avatar: Fire and Ash
Superman
F1
Frankenstein
Sinners
---
Wicked: For Good
The Lost Bus
Tron: Ares
BEST MAKEUP/HAIR
Frankenstien
Sinners
The Smashing Machine
Marty Supreme
One Battle After Another
---
The Ugly Stepsister
Kokomo
The Ugly Stepsister
Nominations
One Battle After Another 13
Sinners 12
Hamnet 9
Marty Supreme 9
Frankenstein 8
This is a pretty predictable year. So, what is the surprise nominee? I say George Clooney in Jay Kelly, but even that's a stretch.
That's it for now. I'll watch the nominations live with my class in the morning and hope I don't scream or throw something.
There will be more to come. In the interim, Seasons Screenings!
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